احدث صور تامر حسنى و زوجته فقط على هيّسً معٱنٌٱ وِ خٌدُلك لبّٱنٌۂ

اهلا بكم فى مدونه

هيّسً معٱنٌٱ وِ خٌدُلك لبّٱنٌۂ

 مفاجأة صادمة لمعجبات تامر حسني النجم والمطرب المشهور، نشر حسني خبر زواجه من نجمة ستار أكاديمي بسمة بوسيل -مغربية الأصل- لمحبيه في فيديو على صفحته الرسمية بموقع التواصل الشهير فيس بوك، وموقعه الرسمي.
وبدأ تامر حسني الفيديو بعبارة "يا جماعة باركولي أخيرا اتجوزت"، وأشار فيه إلى أن القصة تحولت بينها من علاقة عمل وصداقة إلى حب ولاسيما بعد الشائعات التي تعرضا لها، وبمجرد أن تأكدا من مشاعرهما، توجه "تامر" لطلب يدها من والدها، وتم عقد القران، واتفقا على عدم طرح الألبوم والتفرغ التام للحياة الزوجية.
وفور إعلان خبر زواجه، انهالت التهاني من قبل محبيه مباركين لهما بالزواج، فقد علقت نانسي "ألف مبروك يا تامر يارب يوفقك في حياتك الزوجية ونفرح بولادك".
وبطبيعة الحال كان خبر زواج "تامر" صادمًا لشريحة كبيرة من محبيه خاصة من الفتيات، وارتسمت على تعليقاتهم الغيرة من "بسمة"، فقد علَّقت أسماء مصطفى "بجد يا تامر انت نزلت من نظري مين دي أصلا"، وعلَّقت خلود "على فكرة ذوقك مش حلو بصراحة".
وكان للشعر دور كبير في التعبير عن غضب "نونة المغربية"؛ حيث قالت "يا ريت بيوم ما عرفتك وكانت نظره وفقدتك حبيتك وأشعلت القلب نار ياريت ما حبيتك ولا عشقتك ولا الحب انكتب وصار ومت قبل ماسمع هالخبر".
مزجت حنان بين الغيرة والروح الرياضية في تعليقها "أنا مصدومة مافيني أحكيلك ألف مبروك بس أنا كمعجبة هحترم قرارك بحبك كتير وألف مبروك".
وعلى الصعيد الآخر، اعترض بعض محبيه على زواجه من داخل الوسط الفني؛ حيث إن ذلك جاء متعارضًا مع تصريحاته السابقة، وتوالت التعليقات حول هذا الأمر، فقد علق كيمو "فين الكلام اللي كان بيتقال يا تامر إنك هتتجوز من برة الوسط الفنى وانك تتمنى انك متكملش في الغنا ورايح تتجوز مغنية".

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Forex Daily Review: China Initiated the Bearish Outlook for Gold, Crude Oil and AUD

AUD/USD

My focus on AUD/USD is paying off. As expected, HSBC China Manufacturing PMI remained below 50.0, which indicates the economy is still contracting. A slowdown in China means it may purchase less goods from Australia, denting the AAA Australian sovereign rating. The Australian dollar (AUD) is expected to weaken against a basket of currencies on the fears that the Reserve Bank of Australia (RBA) will act and cut rates to counter the slowdown in China at the next monetary policy. The main trigger for Aussie-selling was a decline in China cola imports.

Gold

XAU/USD (gold) posted heavy losses as a result of the HSBC Manufacturing PMI. This was also expected as Ioutlined in my analysis. Despite the Fed's QE3, the weakness in gold and AUD are expected to continue throughout the upcoming months.

Brent Crude Oil

I also highlighted the death cross in my Brent crude oil technical analysis that hinted strong weakness is about to take place. Crude oil contracts were smacked lower and are expected to continue the downtrend as long as China's economy remains in contraction.
Spain Bond Auction

Spain is due to issue a new 3-year benchmark, 3.75% October 2015 Bono and 10-year benchmark, 5.85% Jan 2022 Obligacion for between €3.5 - 4.5 billion. The Spanish auction results are due at 08:40am GMT and may determine the EUR/USD trend for today's session.

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Forex Daily Review: ESM Cheers won’t Help Copper

ESM Announcement

The European Stability Mechanism (ESM) may finally be signed next Wednesday in Brussels, boosting the market bulls as the DAX 35 Index opened higher at 7420. The hawkish news may drive markets higher in today's session, reflecting in temporary gains in EUR/USD. The gains are unlikely to sustain themselves for the intermediate term, intraday resistance at 1.3040 to cap strong gains in Euro-dollar. The credit rating agencies remain the biggest threat as concerns on the US fiscal cliff mounts as we near the 2013. Immediate focus for today's session will be on GBP pairs and crosses as forex traders anticipate the Public Sector Net Borrowing at 08:30am GMT and CPI data from Canada at 12:30pm GMT.

Copper Technical Trading Strategy

The main focus should be on Copper. Strong gains in the metal have pushed the price into overbought territories. 'Dark Cloud' reversal pattern has been noted in the daily chart, indicating a trend reversal is nearing. ESM talks are currently supporting the price but for how long? Copper may extend its gains to 381 before reverting its current trend. Weakness is then expected to materialize, shoving the metal towards 362.50. The latter resistance is seen at 383.49, supported via 400-daily moving average (DMA) in green.

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Trading Naked

Hello there,
I thought I try and get a thread going which focuses purely on clean charts with a couple of lines on them and what I perceive to be simple trading. Sometimes referred to as naked trading I think....

No indicators, MA's, fibs, trend lines, chart patterns, candlestick names, fundamentals, correlations etc. etc. etc. 
Just price, support and resistance, higher highs, and lower lows, buying when price is going up and selling when it's going down

A little bit about me. I am very new to trading (less than 1 year) and purely trade as above. I mainly trade cable M5 but am starting to branch out a bit. I am not, and I repeat not, trying to teach anything, or any such nonsense as I am a complete beginner. What I am hoping is that there might be some like-minded souls on T2W who'd like to look at ideas to do with trading this way, different timeframes, markets etc. Some of you will know me from my trading journal but I am hoping that, by starting a thread, I can get better at what I do and learn a bit more. Sadly the place where I learnt most of what I do is a bit too focused on one instrument whereas I am keen to broaden my knowledge and experience to other markets.

At this point I can't go any further without saying a big thank you to Feb - those who know of me know that, to me anyway, he showed the way. That said there are lots of people on T2W who have helped me along the way and I'll try and find some links to stuff when I get a moment. 

Anyway - what do I do? Basically I look to identify levels and then trade them. Simple as that. I personally believe that, whilst the market is not random (and every price movement has a reason behind it), it is 100% unpredictable. What this means is I have no expectation or desire to know what will happen next as I can't see into the future. All I do is find a level, generally trade in the existing direction which price is moving in, and see what happens next. To me the 'seeing what happens next' bit is the hardest bit and the one I struggle with the most. 

In a nutshell that's it. Hopefully there may be others here who trade the same way who will be interested in contributing to this thread. If I could ask that anyone posting charts etc., please restrict them to horizontal lines and the less of those the better. In other words, keep it simple as I am a simple person.

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EU’s Barnier: ’No German Resistance to Joint Banking Supervision’

Despite criticisms from numerous German officials over the past few days about the EU’s proposed joint banking supervision plan, European Commissioner Michel Barnier said today that there is no German resistance. However, Barnier also said that there will be compromises on the supervisor plan, likely referring to his reported negotiations with Germany.

Barnier’s comments sent the Euro above 1.3000 against the US Dollar following an initial boost by abetter than expected UK public sector net borrowing. A 4-month high currently sits at 1.3171, which could provide resistance, and support could be provided by the key 1.3000 figure.

Turning to Greece, German Finance Ministry Spokesman Kotthaus said he doesn’t know when the Troika will submit the new Greece report. However, he said that Greece has had an impressive debt cut. Greek coalition leaders are supposed to agree on 11.5 billion Euros of budget cuts to present to the Troika, and reports were released overnight that the party leaders are closer to agreeing on a plan.

In Italy, Undersecretary of Finance Gianfranco Polillo said that neither Italy nor any other country would preemptively ask for the ECB’s bond purchases. He said that the sovereign debt yields would have to jump for Italy to ask for help. Polillo also said that Italy is looking for 6.5 billion Euros in cuts, in hopes of avoiding a rise in VAT. The budget comment was quickly followed by a 30 point decline in EURUSD.

In England, BoE Governor Mervyn King said that missing deficit targets is acceptable, if the reason is due to a poor economy. Also, BoE’s Dale said the initial signs from the funding for lending scheme are encouraging.

In the North American session, the Canadian CPI will be released at 12:30 GMT. Follow the release with Currency Analyst David Song here.

EURUSD 1-hour: September 21, 2012

--- Written by Benjamin Spier, DailyFX Research

“Meet the DailyFX team in Las Vegas at the annual FXCM Traders Expo, November 2-4, 2012 at the Rio All Suite Hotel & Casino. For additional information regarding the schedule, workshops and accommodations, visit the FXCM Trading Expo website.”

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Euro Pulls Back and Consolidates Before Heading Higher

Euro is pulling back a bit today, consolidating recent positions and looking for a solid level of support. The main concern right now centers around what’s happening with embattled eurozone countries.

Focus has shifted away from the European Central Bank, and plans for bond buying, to the actual situation on the ground in embattled eurozone countries. Instead of looking at the European Stability Mechanism, there are concerns about what is happening in Spain and Portugal. Citizens are protesting austerity measures, and that is providing doubt for politicians.

Spain has been encouraged to ask for aid from the bailout fund, but leaders are reluctant to do so, since that aid comes with austerity strings attached, and the Spanish politicians aren’t quite ready to go against a protesting citizenry. The result of this delay, and concerns that the individual politicians are balking, are weighing a bit on the euro.

The euro is in more of a consolidation phase, looking for some level of support that is consistent with the current focus. The 17-nation currency has managed to pull ahead against the US dollar after some drops, but the situation remains precarious and risk appetite has faded a bit.

At 13:14 GMT EUR/USD is up to 1.3130 from the open of 1.3121. EUR/GBP is still lower at 0.8083, down from the open at 0.8088. EUR/JPY is up to 103.4560 from the open at 102.7900.

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Canadian Dollar Struggles to Hold Ground against US Dollar

Canadian dollar is struggling today, working to hold ground against the US dollar as risk aversion sends high beta currencies lower today. Loonie is one of those that is down against the greenback, but the Canadian currency has been making moves to steady itself.

After reaching 13-month highs at the end of last week, the last two days have not been kind to the Canadian dollar. The euphoria over unlimited quantitative easing in the United States and the ECB bond buying program has faded. Now, the focus is back on a slowing global economy, and the problems that countries like Spain and Portugal could cause for the eurozone.

With risk appetite fading, the Canadian dollar is pulling back as well. Oil prices have tanked and are not offering any support, and uncertainty means that Forex traders aren’t interested in the slightly riskier loonie when they can have the safe haven of the United States dollar. Loonie has managed to stop its headlong fall, and steady itself against the greenback, but it could still lose ground again.

At 13:00 GMT USD/CAD is down to 0.9745 from the open at 0.9747. GBP/CAD is down to 1.5839 from the open at 1.5841. EUR/CAD is down to 1.2737 from the open at 1.2773.

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US Dollar Gains as Uncertainty Returns to the Markets

US dollar is heading higher today, getting some help from the uncertainty that is returning to the markets. The weakness from the quantitative easing announcement is fading a bit as Forex traders look for a little certainty in the current environment.

Greenback is gaining right now, thanks to the latest news out of China, as well as renewed concerns about what is happening in the eurozone. In China, housing prices aren’t growing at the same rate they were before. The slowing in the pace of gains has many worried about the Chinese economy — and that means there are concerns about the global economy.

On top of that, Spain is still balking at asking for aid, and that has many worried about the eurozone. It isn’t helping that Portugal is still an issue, and that Greece could become a focal point at any time again. With all this uncertainty, the US dollar is being sought. It is still backed by the most stable taxpayer base in the world, despite the recent devaluing through QE3. It is little surprise that the greenback is gaining the upper hand for now.

At 14:09 GMT EUR/USD is down to 1.3058 from the open at 1.3116. GBP/USD is down to 1.6237 from the open at 1.6250. USD/JPY is down to 78.6200 from the open at 1.6250.

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Aussie Gets Boost from News Out of Japan

Australian dollar is getting a boost today, heading higher after the Bank of Japan announced a plan to further ease the situation for the yen. The move is expected to help the Japanese economy, and the Australian dollar is getting a boost, similar to the gains seen at the end of last week with the quantitative easing announcement from the United States.

Aussie is seeing some support after losing ground earlier this week. Yesterday, the news about disappointing Chinese data weighed on the Down Under currency. China is Australia’s largest trading partner, and news of slowing economic growth in China wasn’t helping. It also wasn’t helping that commodities were losing ground yesterday.

Today, commodities — especially gold — are making some advancements, and news of more economic stimulus around the world is helping the Aussie. The Reserve Bank of Australia has pointed out that a relatively strong Australian dollar has helped keep inflation at bay, and that, if needed, there is room to cut rates anyway. Aussie still has one of the higher interest rates among developed countries, and that is helping the currency in some instances.

At 13:17 GMT AUD/USD is up to 1.0452 from the open at 1.0451. EUR/AUD is down to 1.2459 from the open at 1.2477. GBP/AUD is down to 1.5508 from the open at 1.5537.

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Euro Slips Against the Dollar, But Remains Just Above 1.30

Euro is slipping a bit against the US dollar, heading a little lower, but the 17-nation currency continues to hold on to the 1.30 level. Selling pressure is building, though, as weak economic data and continued inaction from eurozone leaders weighs on the euro.

Concerns about what’s next for the eurozone continue to weigh on the overall performance of the euro, and add to future uncertainty. The latest economic news out of the eurozone, showing Construction Output, was disappointing, indicating that recession is still a very real possibility for the 17-nation currency zone.

On top of that, there are still issues with sovereign nations in the eurozone. A Greek judge just joined the austerity protests, and questions about whether or not Greece will meet its obligations and receive more bailout money are being raised again. On top of that, Spain still has not asked for aid from the ESM, and the issues plaguing Portugal haven’t even begun to be addressed.

As a result, the euro is slipping today. However, EUR/USD has managed to hold above 1.30. That may not last, though, if the current selling pressure continues to build.

At 14:20 GMT EUR/USD is down to 1.3022 from the upen at 1.3048. EUR/GBP is up to 0.8033 from the open at 0.8031. EUR/JPY is down to 102.2100 from the open at 102.8350.

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US Dollar Stronger on Global Economic Fears

US dollar is heading higher today, strengthening as Forex traders demand safe haven currencies. Economic data out of the eurozone and out of China are weighing on riskier assets today, and the greenback is getting a boost.

Dollar weakness caused by the recent quantitative easing announcement from the Federal Reserve is being replaced by strength as concerns about global economic slowdown are coming to the forefront of Forex trader concerns. The latest PMI data out of the eurozone shows the worst reading since June 2009, and China’s factory data is also disappointing.

With economic news pointing to the possibility of a global slowdown — and recession fears high for the eurozone — it is little surprise that the US dollar is once again in demand. Forex traders are looking for stability right now, and the US dollar remains one of the most stable currencies. As a safe haven currency, greenback is sought after, and right now Forex traders are looking for a little safety.

For now, the dollar is heading higher. With economic concerns trumping QE announcements, it is little surprise that the greenback is being turned to. The only major currency higher than the dollar right now is the yen.

At 14:36 GMT EUR/USD is down to 1.2944 from the open at 1.3052. GBP/USD is down to 1.6188 from the open at 1.6221. USD/JPY is down to 78.2330 from the open at 78.3820.

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Canadian Dollar Inches Higher against US Dollar

Canadian dollar is moving a little higher right now, thanks to an appearance by risk appetite. Loonie had been dropping earlier this week on concerns about global economic growth, but now there is a little more optimism, thanks to the latest news out of Spain.

Instead of fixating on global economic issues, investors and Forex traders are now turning their attention toward the possible good news coming out of the eurozone. Spain has announced that it will reveal a reform plan next week. This news has the optimism back, and that is helping high beta currencies like the Canadian dollar.

Also helping the loonie right now is the fact that oil prices are showing a little more fight than they were earlier. This week, thanks to global economic concerns, oil prices had been dropping. Today they are turning around a little bit. Canada is very closely tied to oil prices, and the loonie is gaining a little bit of support from the improvement in oil prices today.

There are still plenty of worries about what’s next for the global economy, so volatility is still to be expected. But for now the Canadian dollar is making progress against the US dollar.

At 13:30 GMT USD/CAD is dow to 0.9747 from the open at 0.9768. EUR/CAD is up to 1.2682 from the open at 1.2661. GBP/CAD is up to 1.5872 from the open at 1.5831.

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Euro Gets Boost on Expectations for Spain

Euro is getting a bit of a boost today, heading higher as optimism about Spain becomes the focus today. Also helping matters for the euro against the US dollar is the continued strength of gold, thanks to its use as an inflation hedge.

Spain is expected to reveal a fiscal reform plan next week. The hope is that a reform plan indicates that the embattled country is ready to ask the European Central Bank for a bailout. Concerns about what’s next for Spain are high, especially considering some of the issues Greece has experienced. Relief that Spain might be falling in line is providing a solid boost for the euro right now.

Also supporting the euro is the strength of gold. Gold prices (and other commodities like oil) and the euro generally move together, since gold usually moves inversely to the US dollar. With unlimited quantitative easing now on the table to reduce the value of the greenback, the euro — along with gold prices — is likely to continue to show a degree of strength, even with worries about how the eurozone will cope with all its challenges.

At 14:14 GMT EUR/USD is up to 1.2991 from the open at 1.2968. EUR/GBP is down, though, heading to 0.7982 from the open at 0.7997. EUR/JPY is higher, up to 101.5985 from the open at 101.4650.

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عائشه مصطفى....طالبه مصريه تتفوق على وكاله ناســـا

اهلا بكم فى مدونه 

هيّسً معٱنٌٱ وِ خٌدُلك لبّٱنٌۂ

         

«عائشة» طالبة بالفرقة الثانية بكلية العلوم جامعة سوهاج، ولأنها لديها أفكار علمية - 

أعتقد أنها تحتوى على ابتكارات مهمة - سافرت بصحبة والدها حتى القاهرة فى سبيل 
عرض معادلاتها، وفى هذا السياق وصلت إلى مكتبى الخميس الماضى.

«عائشة» بنت جميلة وأنيقة، تماماً مثل استنتاجاتها الرياضية البسيطة، المبنية على أفكار فيزيقية عميقة. تأملت تلك المعادلات ولاحظت أن معظمها ليس هراء كاملاً ك

ما كنت أتوقع، إنما استنتاجات مبسطة لظواهر معروفة ومهمة، وفوق مستوى معرفة طالبة فى السنة الثانية.. والأهم فهى تجيد جانباً جوهرياً فى الفكر العلمى، وهو توحيد وربط ظواهر قد تبدو بعيدة عن بعضها.. وقد وجدت هكذا علاقة تربط درجة حرارة الطاقة الإشعاعية الكامنة فى الموجات الكهرومغناطيسية والطاقة الكامنة فى كتلة المادة «كما عرفها أينشتاين من خلال معادلته الشهيرة التى ربطت بين الكتلة والطاقة».

قلت لها إن المعادلة البسيطة التى اعتقدت أنها ابتكرتها صحيحة من حيث المبدأ، بل تعتبر إعادة استنتاج مبسطة لظاهرة معروفة، مع ذلك فإن تداعيات تلك المعادلة يمكن رصدها فقط على درجات حرارة عالية جداً، تسمح للموجات الكهرومغناطيسية فى صورة «فوتونات» عالية الطاقة بالتحول إلى جسيمات ذات كتلة، كالإلكترونات مثلاً.. فالـ«فوتون» عالى الطاقة هو فقط الذى يمكن أن يتحول إلى زوج «إلكترونى - بوزيترونى»، والعكس صحيح، أى أنه عندما يتقابل الإلكترون مع نقيضه البوزيترون يمكن أن يتحولا إلى «فوتون» كهرومغناطيسى عالى الطاقة.

قلت لها إن درجات الحرارة التى تسمح بتلك التفاعلات سادت بالفعل الكون فى أول ثوان بعد نشأته.. نعرف ذلك لأن الطاقة الإشعاعية المتبقية من تلك الحقبة مرصودة منذ اكتشافها عام 1964، ونعرف أن هذه الأشعة فعلاً «كونية»، لأن أى جهاز رصدى يلتقطها بصرف النظر عن وجود أى مصادر أرضية مجاورة يمكن أن تنبعث منها، وهى مرصودة فى كل اتجاه ولا تتغير حدتها من مكان لمكان أو من اتجاه لآخر.. ولديها بصمة ما يسمى «الاتزان الحرارى»، الذى نتج فى بداية الكون عن التحول المستمر بين الموجات الكهرومغناطيسية فى صورة فوتونات والمادة ذات الكتلة فى صورة إلكترونات وبوزيترونات وغيرها، وعن التلاحم الكهرومغناطيسى بين الفوتونات والأجسام المشحونة... ثم عندما انخفضت درجة حرارة الكون نتيجة تمدده «تماماً كما تنخفض حرارة غاز الولاعات عندما يتمدد عند خروجه من الأنبوبة»، وانخفضت كثافة المادة فيه، تلاشى التلاحم بين الجسيمات والأشعة الكونية، التى تصل إلينا الآن كرسالة معلوماتية عن حالة الكون البدائى.

بدت الدهشة على وجهى عائشة ووالدها الفخور (عن حق). فرغم أن استنتاجاتها الرياضية البسيطة لم تعبر عن اكتشافات جديدة فإن تداعياتها مذهلة.. وبالفعل، فالمجتمع العلمى ينتظر الآن نتائج المرصد «بلانك»، التابع لوكالة الفضاء الأوروبية، الذى سيرصد أشعة الظل الكونية تلك بدقة فائقة، والتى ستمكننا من معرفة المزيد عن ظروف نشأة الكون ومحتواه. لذلك، قلت لـ«عائشة» إنه مع أنها لم تكتشف نظريات جديدة، فإن لديها موهبة يجب أن تنمى من خلال التدريب الشاق، حتى تكون ناضجة بشكل كاف للاشتراك الفعال فى اكتشافات المستقبل - عن طريق تحليل نتائج «بلانك» مثلاً، وأشرت لعدة كتب يمكن أن تقرأها حتى نتناقش فيها.

وفى مساء ذلك اليوم تحركت كالعادة نحو منزلى بالزمالك عن طريق «المحور». كانت «الزنقة» المسائية الممتدة قد بدأت كالعادة، وعند الوصول لميدان لبنان اكتشفت «كالعادة» أن الطريق ينسد لكيلومترات عديدة نتيجة التزاحم العصبى عند المفرق النهائى للطريق: أى أن الناس يقضون ساعات طويلة من العذاب لأنهم يفرضونه على أنفسهم، لأنهم لا ينظرون للمصلحة العامة.. فعندما يصلون إلى المفترق لا يفكرون على الإطلاق فى أن تصرفاتهم هناك تتسبب فى خنق الطريق وعذاب من وراءهم، رغم أنهم أنفسهم منذ فترة وجيزة كانوا يحسبون على هؤلاء المعذبين.

فى «زنقتى المحورية» اكتشفت أن هذا النهج نفسه - الأنانى لدرجة أنه يتجاهل أن المصلحة الشخصية فى النهاية مرتبطة بالمصلحة العامة، وأن الفوضى لا تفيد أحداً، هو الذى يحرك آلاف الصراعات، اليومى منها والمصيرى أيضاً، التى يخسر فيها الكل. هذا النهج قد يتسبب أيضاً فى النهاية فى عدم وجود أحد على الإطلاق فى ذلك المكتب الذى أعمل من خلاله بمدينة زويل لكى يرد على أسئلة «عائشة» وأمثالها.. فلا مكان لـ«زويل»، أو حتى لـ«نيل»، بعد ضياع المصلحة العامة وسيادة الخراب.

دكتور عمرو من مدينة زويل

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second Ways to Trade Forex

International trade is another announcement that I like to trade. I like it because it has growth and economic strength implications for the U.S., and it is a very important metric for trade-centric economies, like that of Japan. In fact, I generally concentrate on the USD/JPY pair when this announcement is due since the reaction can be quite dramatic. It is possible to trade other currencies that are trade dependent for economic health, but I prefer the USD/JPY because of its liquidity. 

To understand how this trade works, it is important to understand the implications of trade balance. When an economy such as that of the U.S. is importing more from exporting currencies, those goods must ultimately be paid for in the local currency. In the example I am using here, that means Japanese goods must be paid for in Japanese yen. If the U.S. is doing the importing, then U.S. dollars must be sold to purchase Japanese yen. This shifts the supply and demand balance toward a stronger Japanese yen and a weaker U.S. dollar. In this case, that means that the USD/JPY exchange rate would decline in value. Conversely, if the U.S. trade deficit narrows, that means demand for Japanese yen could be declining and its value should drop relative to the U.S. dollar. If that is the case, the USD/JPY exchange rate will rise toward a weaker Japanese yen. 

Like most U.S.-based economic announcements, trade is released an hour before the equity markets open at 8:30 a.m. eastern. Like the labor announcement, I need to set up my trade just prior to the announcement. I like to see the market in a tight range or channel. I have pulled a trade example from August 10, 2006. As you can see in the chart below, although the pair was declining in the hours prior to the announcement, the range was pretty tight without a lot of volatility whipping the market back and forth. This looks like a good setup and you can see the spike in the market after the announcement that the deficit was tightening occurred.


Source: Prophet.net

The fact that I setup my trade as a long position just prior to the announcement was determined by the trend in the daily chart. The market had basically been in an uptrend since May, and the most recent days during the week before also had a bullish bias. This is not an exact science, but it helps immensely to put the odds in your favor by using the tools you have at your disposal. You can also see from the daily chart of the USD/JPY that its daily range was fairly tight. This means that my target is a little smaller than it was on the EUR/USD in the previous example. 


Source: Prophet.net

In this case I used a 50-pip limit, or profit target, against a 15-pip stop loss. This still maintains a nice risk-to-reward ratio while allowing enough room for the market to shake out a little if needed. 

As you can imagine, it is not uncommon to be wrong more times than you are right with any trading technique. It is therefore necessary to make sure that it is possible to be more right when you are right than wrong when you are wrong. I know many traders who talk about systems that are right 80 percent or more of the time, but the one time they are wrong, they wind up wiping out yearsï' worth of profits. If you ask me, I think it is healthier for my portfolio and my stress levels to take trades that have more balance between what I have at risk versus what I stand to gain if I am a winner.

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3 Ways to Trade Forex News first way

Capital markets, in general, are unique from other markets for goods and services. While I do believe the Forex is driven by supply and demand for the respective currencies at play, often what really moves the markets is anticipation of future supply and demand rather than actual supply and demand. That realization comes to most traders at some point in their career. This concept leads to the biggest question in the Forex: where do these estimates of supply and demand come from? 

Surely a comprehensive survey of every user of every currency is impossible. However, there are ways to aggregate and access some information in one place. This is the purpose of news and announcements. News comes from a variety of sources--both commercial and governmental. In the Forex, an emphasis is placed on the value of information or news from government sources. This is fine and is certainly a location on which I place a lot of my own attention, but commercial sources and general investor commentary can do a lot to improve your trading as well. 

The purpose of this article is to provide some basic step-by-step methods you can employ today to take advantage offorex news in the market. I have some experiences that I will share to show how you can find some great trades and how you can identify the duds before they become real bombs in your portfolio. The examples I am using in this article are not the only possible trades available. There are a variety of events each month that can be used to time a good trade. It is useful to watch ongoing news stories that are currently dominating the headlines and minds of investors to identify trading opportunities. The significance of one piece of news over another will change over time. An easy gauge to tell what is important and what can be minimized is the news coverage itself. If one piece of information or speculation about that information is dominating the scene, then it is clearly something you need to be aware of. 

As we proceed through this article, I will share some rules that I have used in the past to profit from news events. However, I think it is somewhat foolhardy to rely completely on a set of rules established in the past. Adjusting your price targets and stops to market volatility and your own risk tolerance is very important. Similarly, while I consider myself a swing trader--willing to hold a position for between 2-3 days and 2-3 weeks--there is a lot of room for good day- or shorter-term traders and long-term traders as well. I will periodically take some very short-term trades around a specific announcement, and I will share those circumstances with you in this article. Understanding the news is very important for every trader, especially those looking at the long-term play. In my book, Profiting with Forex, I spend a great deal of time illustrating the long-term effects of fundamental changes on the Forex. 

Before we begin diving into specific strategies, it is important to accumulate our arsenal of trading weapons. Two of the strategies I will be discussing rely on the use of an outright long or short position. You could take this position in either the spot Forex market, which most of you are probably using, or in the exchange-listed currency futures market on the CME. The third strategy begins diving into the world of options. For those of you familiar with equity options, currency-futures and some spot Forex dealers offer similar instruments for trading. Recently exotic, single-payment and binary options have also become popular. I will refrain from going into too much detail here and instead just pick one type as an example. Check them out on your own, and see how they work for you.

Example #1

The first technique I have to share comes with a couple of tips. First, I have found that news that involves the U.S. dollar usually has the biggest impact on the market as a whole. I am sure most traders are already aware of this, but with very few exceptions they tend to be the most closely watched by the greatest number of participants. Each month there are some ï'hotï' news announcements, one of which is the unemployment report, which is released on the first Friday of each month. The trick with this, however, is that the largest moves are usually made when the numbers miss or beat expectations. But be careful. The correction usually happens very quickly. I use an easy technique to get me into the market before the move occurs with a generous stop and limit order on the other two sides of the trade. 

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Forexfactory Forex News Calendar

 see what time the report is getting released and what the Consensus is. The NFP is always released at 8:30am EST but you should always double check every report just to make sure. The second thing you would do would be to go to the Calendar menu on the Fast Economic News site and find the previous releases for all the past Non-Farm Payroll reports. You would quickly see what deviations caused a huge move in the currency pair when this report was released in the past. I personally trade theUSD/JPY (US Dollar vs. Japanese Yen) pair for this report. In my opinion, this pair is the most dependable pair to trade for this report. So, if you see that a deviation of 100,000 for example, caused a huge move, then you would Buy the USD/JPY pair if the number came out at 100,000 or better. And the opposite is true. If you saw a number worse than 120,000 historically caused a huge move in the other direction, you would Sell the USD/JPY pair. If you were fortunate enough to get theSecret News Weapon, you would put these deviation numbers into the Weapon and set your autoclicks. Then wait for the news to come out and if your deviation gets hit, watch your trade fly into profit. I suggest closing 1/2 of your position immediately after the initial spike. Then watch the price action and either go for more profit if price continues, or close out the final 1/2 if price retraces past 50% of the initial spike.

There are many reports released each week and sometimes you'll get a few each day! In my opinion, there's nothing more profitable than news trading in forex. At least with news trading, you know exaclty when to be ready for a trade and you can get in immediately. With technical trading, you really need to watch all your charts and indicators all the time, to make good trading decisions. I'd rather sit through a news release trade for 15-20 minutes than look at my charts for a few hours waiting for a setup. Dont' get me wrong though. I enjoy technical trading, but for faster profits and much less risk, nothing beats trading the news.

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Trading Example

One of the best News Trades that everyone looks forward to is called the Non-Farm Payroll Reportor what it's commonly referred to as NFP. This report comes out on the first Friday of each month. Everyone looks forward to this trade because if the released numbers deviate considerably from the consensus, then this can be a huge money maker. Some traders only trade this report. That's how important the NFP release is to forex news traders.

The first thing you would do is got to the Forexfactory Forex News Calendar

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Fast Economic News

go to the Calendar menu. We also worked out a deal with them too so for our ForexBoost members, if you order their service through our site, you will save 10% off their service one-time service plan. And if you want to make serious money trading the news, you need to get the Secret News Weapon and watch your profits go thru the roof.

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How to Trade The News

You need to know tho (2) things about news trading. First you need to know when important news gets released. The second thing to know, is what kind of numbers will make your news trades work.

The first one is easy. Just look at any forex news calendar to see what news releases are due out and at what time of day. The one I use every day is the Forexfactory Forex News Calendar. This calendar shows you at a quick glance, all the news scheduled for release for the current week. The ones with Red folders are the ones to consider trading.

The second one is what can make you a lot money. To make money trading the news, the news release itself has to be a "shock". In other words, every news event has a Consensus number. This is the number the market is expecting. If that number is hit, or very close to consensus, then 99% of the time, that is considered a "No Trade". In other words, the numbers came out "As Expected". There were no surprises and chances are very good price will not be affected. However, when there is a surprise deviation, this is when price takes off. If the number is a "Good Surprise", then that's good for a currency and that currency would increase in value. If the number is a "Bad Surprise", the opposite happens and the currency you're trading dwould ecrease in value. As news traders, we look for these deviations from consensus and that's what makes us money.

So, the Million Dollar question is, "How do you know what a good deviation number should be?" The only way to know is to look at past performance of news releases and see what numbers caused the currencies to move. The one and only service I know of that has all this historical information in one easy to read place is from Fast Economic News 

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Forex News Trading Summary

For trading forex, you need to have money to start with. If you can’t start a forex trading account with at least $2500, my recommendation is to stay out of news trading with us. Needless to say, the more money you start with, the more money you can use to trade and the higher profits you will make.

This is a great business and I’m so glad I decided to get into forex trading when I did. I’ve been at this for years and expect to do it for many more years. I also expect to have enough money to have a nice, early retirement for myself and my family. News trading is one of the main reasons why I'm so much closer to my financial goals than every before.

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Forex News Trading

Traders on the Foreign Exchange market, Forex market for short, can potentially make thousands of dollars based on the volatility and fluctuations of a country’s currency. To better themselves and have a leading advantage over other traders, some Forex traders and investors participate in a practice known as news trading. The risks are very high, but the potential gains can be worth thousands of dollars and many traders and investors use this technique.

The technique of news trading is quite simple. It is the trading of foreign currency immediately before or after an important economic news announcement. After such announcements, there is a high possibility that market prices will fluctuate, either for the better or worse, depending on the announcement. For example, if the U. S. Federal Reserve announces another increase of the interest rate, many traders might invest in the U.S. dollar as it is expected that its value will appreciate. The main advantage of news trading is the potential for a country’s currency to make huge gains or losses in very little time. Within minutes of an economic announcement, a country’s currency can gain or lose one hundred points almost instantly. The potential of huge profits attracts Foreign Exchange traders and investors, however there are various risks associated with news trading.

Like any investment, there is always a risk, and news trading on the Forex market is no different. Though the potential profits are huge, the losses are also equally as large. The dangers of news trading come from the fact that a trade must be made quickly or else you are going to lose. If you are caught on the bad side of a trade, your money will be gone quicker than you can blink your eye. You will lose money so fast that there won’t even be time for you to manually close your trades, leaving you with nothing. Stop-loss orders are also potentially dangerous as there is a high probability of slippage because of the sudden price fluctuation.

Though some investors and traders might get lucky trading news, there is only a small probability that you will make a profit. Even if you are an expert news trader, you should still be very, very cautious when participating in this practice. Successful news trading depends solely on how you get your news. The most successful news tradersare the ones with the fastest news feeds and those that are able to quickly place their trades immediately after an announcement has been made. Even using other forms of news trading, such as placing orders above or below the market price is still a guessing game, and those traders in the market who base their trades on guesses, won’t have much money after a short time.

For many Forex traders and investors, their trades are dictated by technical indicators and price indexes. Hours are spent researching every indicator, taking every risk into account and then making a decision based on everything they have studied. However, for a Forex news trader, none of this matter, and the only thing they take into account is economical news announcements.

News trading is possible because the Forex market is always open, unlike many financial markets. In a financial market, securities trades of certain stocks are suspended when an important company announcement is being made. These announcements are usually made after the market has closed for the day. However, because the Foreign Exchange market is open 24 hours, any economic announcement will have direct affects on the currency of that country, and maybe others as well. In the Forex market, there are eight major currencies that are traded, as well as over seventeen derivatives to be traded as well. This means that on any given day, there will always be economic announcements from any of the major traded currencies. The major trader currencies are as follows:

1. U.S. Dollar (USD)
2. Great British Pound (GBP)
3. Euro (EUR)
4. Japanese Yen (JPY)
5. Australian Dollar (AUD)
6. Swiss Franc (CHF)
7. Canadian Dollar (CAD)
8. New Zealand Dollar (NZD)

Because of the availability of each currency, currency pairs, and its derivatives, such as USD/JPY, EUR/USD, AUD/USD, as well as several others, each currency can be traded at any given time because these currencies are globally traded.

Any Forex news trader or news investor will have to have the latest most up to the moment news announcements. Even if the news announcements are only a couple of minutes old, this can have devastating effects for any trader who has risked any sum of money. Most news traders like to keep an eagle eye on any news regarding economical activity, but most importantly news dealing with interest rates changes, FOMC rate decisions, retail sales figures, inflation indicators such as the consumer price index (CPI), producer price index (PPI), unemployment figures, industrial production announcements, boost in business and consumer confidence, as well as business sentiment surveys. Manufacturing sector surveys, trade balance release details, and foreign purchases of U.S. Treasuries may also prove useful for a news trader to better make decisions regarding when or when not to trade.

However, it should be remembered that these news announcements can have ranging impacts on a country’s currency, and after an announcement, the volatility of a currency may greatly fluctuate. It is important to take advantage of news that creates movements in volatility that will last for a few minutes or even hours. Trading on the Forex market based solely on news is a difficult and sometimes dangerous practice. However, there are some indicators that can make a news trader’s job easier, such as breakout indicators (Bollinger bands, breakout of a candlestick bar, or a price bar). Research has proved that news announcements can impact a currency’s value quite severely, in some cases it can gain or lose anywhere from 33 pips to 124 pips, opening up the ideal trading opportunity looked for by news traders. If a news trader is able to act quickly enough, even the smallest news release can be turned into a potential profit of thousands of dollars. However, it is important to remember the volatility of such announcements, and although the profits seem endless, the losses can happen too.

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